6 Sept · 14:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1473
FormWWWLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Motacek
RJ
🇨🇿Radim Jaros
ELO 1262
FormLWLLL
67%
33%
🌟Jaros stays under total as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Motacek
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+211
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+211)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)