6 Sept · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1521
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Gembala
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1582
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Stusek covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H5-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)