6 Sept · 14:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LR
🇨🇿Lukas Dominik Rek
ELO 1520
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Hnizdil
TH
🇨🇿Tomas Hnizdil
ELO 1603
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
🌟Rek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (29)
Fair odds · Hnizdil
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)