6 Sept · 09:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1659
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kowalewski
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1606
FormWWLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H25-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.