6 Sept · 10:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1552
FormLLWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zapala
PK
🇨🇿Pawel Kos
ELO 1521
FormWLLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zapala
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H43-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.