6 Sept · 11:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kowalewski
ELO 1668
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kowalewski
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1660
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kowalewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.05· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H22-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.