6 Sept · 18:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1474
FormLWWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1477
FormWWWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Mandrysz🌟Jancak covers set handicap as underdog 67% (72)
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H15-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.