6 Sept · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1553
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Vorisek
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1748
FormLWLWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+195
H2H126-112
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (126-112)