6 Sept · 17:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1748
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Vorisek
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stusek
ELO 1660
FormWLWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Vorisek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+88
H2H187-156
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (187-156)