6 Sept · 16:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1487
FormWLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sindler
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1474
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jancak🌟Jancak covers set handicap as underdog 67% (72)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H18-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.