6 Sept · 18:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1537
FormWLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Molin
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1534
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Lasota covers set handicap as underdog 71% (38)
Fair odds · Molin
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H4-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.