6 Sept · 17:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1487
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sindler
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1426
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sobota🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (97)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H13-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-8)