6 Sept · 20:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RJ
🇨🇿Richard Jancak
ELO 1474
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jancak
MD
🇨🇿Miroslav Dolezal
ELO 1444
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dolezal🌟Dolezal covers set handicap as underdog 62% (24)
Fair odds · Jancak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.