6 Sept · 18:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1520
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Molka
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1546
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Molka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H109-114
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.