6 Sept · 21:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TJ
🇨🇿Tomas Cerveny Jr
ELO 1493
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1515
FormWWLLL
48%
52%
🌟Vich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (72)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H25-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.