6 Sept · 22:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1564
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ovcharenko
MO
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1686
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Ovcharenko
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+122
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)