6 Sept · 22:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1637
FormLWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stepien
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1499
FormWWWLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+138
H2H95-47
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (95-47)