6 Sept · 23:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DS
🇨🇿Dawid Stapor
ELO 1526
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Ovcharenko
MO
🇨🇿Maksim Ovcharenko
ELO 1686
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Ovcharenko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+160
H2H6-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-5)