7 Sept · 00:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TR
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1468
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vich
LV
🇨🇿Lukas Vich
ELO 1521
FormLWWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rein🌟Vich rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (72)
Fair odds · Vich
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H21-23
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.