7 Sept · 13:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1494
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Neterda
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1550
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Vavricka stays under total as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H10-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-3)