7 Sept · 11:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1519
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1547
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 64% (66)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H21-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.