7 Sept · 10:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Balcar
ELO 1441
FormWLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Balcar
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pasek
ELO 1374
FormLLWLW
55%
45%
🌟Pasek goes over total as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Balcar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+67
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)