7 Sept · 12:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1519
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Benes
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1555
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 64% (66)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H12-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.