7 Sept · 13:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1455
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jr
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1486
FormWLLLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vaclahovsky
Fair odds · Jr
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.