7 Sept · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇨🇿Jachym Zacharda
ELO 1567
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Vesecky
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1669
FormLLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Vesecky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+102
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)