7 Sept · 10:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1479
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mandrysz
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1484
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Mandrysz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 28% · 3.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.