7 Sept · 11:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1455
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vaclahovsky
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1424
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chvojka🌟Vaclahovsky rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (29)
Fair odds · Vaclahovsky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.