7 Sept · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AS
🇨🇿Adam Strelec
ELO 1482
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Strelec
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1479
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Strelec goes over total as favourite 64% (39)
Fair odds · Strelec
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.