7 Sept · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1455
FormLWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slivka
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1479
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vaclahovsky🌟Slivka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Slivka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.