7 Sept · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1459
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Slivka
TS
🇨🇿Tadeas Slivka
ELO 1479
FormLWWLL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Snr🌟Slivka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (17)
Fair odds · Slivka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.