7 Sept · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1578
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
MB
🇨🇿Matej Beran
ELO 1488
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Beran🌟Beran covers set handicap as underdog 76% (21)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H7-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-5)