7 Sept · 13:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1547
FormLWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Mrowetz
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1651
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Mrowetz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+104
H2H15-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-14)