7 Sept · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1615
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skvarskyi
DS
🇨🇿Dmytro Skvarskyi
ELO 1622
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Skvarskyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.