7 Sept · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1615
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stepien
MS
🇨🇿Marcin Stepien
ELO 1654
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Stepien
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H38-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.