7 Sept · 11:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1600
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1636
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H51-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.