7 Sept · 18:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fnukal
ELO 1537
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Fnukal
RF
🇨🇿Radek Fitl
ELO 1532
FormWLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Fnukal goes over total as favourite 75% (16)
Fair odds · Fnukal
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+5
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.