7 Sept · 16:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1669
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sikora
JR
🇨🇿Jonas Rak
ELO 1595
FormWWWWL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)