7 Sept · 20:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1572
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Travnicek
JT
🇨🇿Jakub Travnicek
ELO 1589
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skulina🌟Travnicek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (55)
Fair odds · Travnicek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.