7 Sept · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1606
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Benak
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Flicek
ELO 1585
FormLWLLL
52%
48%
🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 12% (17)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+21
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.