7 Sept · 18:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sulc
ELO 1492
FormLWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Hyza
DH
🇨🇿Daniel Hyza
ELO 1610
FormWWWWL
40%
60%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulc
Fair odds · Hyza
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+118
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)