7 Sept · 17:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1606
FormLWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jicha
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1693
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)