7 Sept · 20:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1547
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kanak
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1537
FormLWWLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Molin🌟Kanak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (53)
Fair odds · Kanak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.