Michal Lysakowski vs Mateusz Burkacki

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07 Sep · 11:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski

ELO 1645

3-2Final setsLysakowski won

🇨🇿Mateusz Burkacki

ELO 1447

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 62%. The actual result was Michal Lysakowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Michal Lysakowski — profile →Mateusz Burkacki — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.37

Favourite won

Total 77.5

96 points played

Over

Set handicap

Lysakowski −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Lysakowski −5.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

3.65

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Lysakowski is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Burkacki.

▲ Michal Lysakowskipre 66% → final 80%

Mateusz Burkacki ▼

Biggest swing 78 ptsLysakowski recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games