7 Sept · 20:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krcil
ELO 1536
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Krcil
JH
🇨🇿Jaroslav Hajek
ELO 1480
FormWLWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Krcil
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)