7 Sept · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Kamil Kos
ELO 1517
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Arkadiusz
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1554
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Arkadiusz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H23-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.