7 Sept · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PO
🇨🇿Piotr Odelski
ELO 1602
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Odelski
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1561
FormWWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Odelski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.