8 Sept · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1487
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vavricka
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Pros
ELO 1467
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+20
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.