8 Sept · 14:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DV
🇨🇿David Vesecky
ELO 1645
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Benes
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1703
FormLWWWW
45%
55%
🌟Vesecky covers set handicap as underdog 63% (104)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H16-33
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)