8 Sept · 12:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1591
FormWWLWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jr
DS
🇨🇿David Sykora
ELO 1505
FormWLLLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sykora
Fair odds · Jr
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+86
H2H21-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+86)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-14)