8 Sept · 10:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1593
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Krenek
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1538
FormWLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (94)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+55
H2H31-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.